Researchers say that the world is coming closer to the goal of keeping fossil-fuel emissions to the minimum, consequence of the actions they announced on previous pledges. However, the whole world awaits for experts from 190 nations to gather at the UN in Paris in order to reach an agreement to limit these emissions on December.
Scientists say that the goals are to keep the temperature increases in a range of 2 degrees Celsius, according to the group Climate Action Tracker (CAT), founded by four European institutions. The average temperature will rise 2.7 degrees Celsius by 2100 from pre-industrial times, only if nations keep their promises. This will suppose a lower number than the 3.1 degrees Celsius measured last December and the first time it will drop from the average 3 degrees Celsius.
Scientists warn that if the temperature increases over the 2 degrees Celsius objective, climate effects will be devastating, accelerating processes like the melting of glaciers, the rise of sea levels and the appearance of powerful storms.
“The UN’s pledging process has clearly led to progress but it is clear that, in Paris, governments must consider formally acknowledging that their first round of climate plans for 2025 and 2030 will not hold warming below 2 deg C,” said Mr Bill Hare, a researcher at Climate Analytics, one of the project contributors, according to Bloomberg.
China, the U.S. and the European Union represent almost the 80 percent of global emissions, being in the top three. On the other hand, poor nations in Africa are the most vulnerable ones, making all countries in the world getting involved in solving this problem as a community.
“The essential part is that we put in place rules so that countries can ramp up their contributions regularly,” after the Paris conference, said Laurence Tubiana of France, host of the UN meeting to be held from November 30 to December 11, according to The Straits Time.
What the U.S. said about climate change
Six years ago, Hillary Clinton in her role of Secretary of State said the United States will help raise $100 billion annually by 2020 to assist poor countries in coping with “climate change.” The announcement was made during a press conference at the UN’s Copenhagen Climate Change Conference in December 2009. She also pointed out that it was very important that nations like China and India made commitments on environmental regulations.
“In the absence of an operational agreement that meets the requirements that I outlined, there will not be that financial agreement, at least from the United States. Without that accord, there won’t be the kind of joint global action from all of the major economies we all want to see, and the effects in the developing world could be catastrophic,” Clinton said, according to The New American.
Source: The Strait Times
One thought on “The World Awaits for Paris’ Conference on Climate Change”
Yet another dreadful photoshopped picture to give a false impression.
The idea that these are four independent research institutes is as much a deception as the VW affair.
Climate Analytics was started by former Greenpeace International political director, Australian Bill Hare, at Potsdam in Germany. He has been embedded at Potsdam since 2002. His PhD is an honorary one from Murdoch University in Australia.
He was pushing for 1.5 degrees and a carbon budget, unburnable fuels etc as far back as 1997. He is not a climate scientist, although he has been a Lead Author for IPCC, even whilst still officially working for Greenpeace. He has used basic computer models for years to produce scary scenarios.
He is still involved with Potsdam, and took some Potsdam staff with him to Climate Analytics, so already two “independent” institutes are part and parcel of the same set up, although CA now has offices in Berlin.
Kornelis Blok is Managing Partner at Ecofys. He is not a climate scientist even though he has been a Lead Author for IPCC and neither are his team at Ecofys. In 2009, Ecofys was part of a parent company called Econcern, which went bust along with 27 associated eco companies under the company banner, including Ecofys International BV.
Then we have the New Climate Institute, set up by Niklas Hoehne, who was Director of Energy and Climate Policy at Ecofys for 13 years and prior to that worked for UNFCCC. Six of his founding partners also were at Ecofys with him. Neither Hoehne nor his partners are climate scientists, even though Hoehne has been a Lead Author for IPCC. They are policy advocates.
So we see that the “four european research groups” turn out to be essentially one body with four heads and they are pushing policy upon the rest of us, based on a flawed paradigm.
The 2 degree figure is meaningless and has no scientific basis. It was first floated by economist William Nordhaus in 1977 and was picked up by Potsdam’s John Schellnhuber in 1995 and adopted by the EU in 1996. Encouraged by support from Angela Merkel, it has become a mantra with no meaning.
The simple basic fact is that CO2 is not a planetary thermostat, never has been, never will be. Current climate is in a static, if not a cooling phase. The aim of Paris is to get Son of Kyoto with global energy taxation, administered on behalf of the UN by the global corporatist financiers such as Goldman Sachs, who invented Cap and trade.
The poor will not benefit from controls on fossil energy, but those already rich will become richer.